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Final Report for NSF Grant ATM-0129892 "Optimal Utilization and Impact of Water Vapor and
Other High Resolution Observations in Storm-Scale QPF"
Partial List of Funded Projects
"Storm-Scale Quantitative Precipitation Forecasting Using
Advanced Data Assimilation Techniques: Methods, Impacts
and Sensitivities". PI. NSF
ATM-0530814. $835K (12/2005 – 12/2008) Web site for IHOP Research Group.
"A Partnership to Develop, Conduct, and Evaluate Realtime High-Resolution Ensemble and Deterministic Forecasts for Convective-scale Hazardous Weather". Co-PI (with K. Dreogemeier as PI and Fanyou Kong and Micheal Coniglio as co-PIs). NOAA CSTAR Program. $375K (5/2007 – 4/2010). Project Summary.
“Assimilating Doppler Radar Data for Storm-scale Numerical Prediction using an Ensemble-based Variational Method” Co-PI. (with Jidong Gao PI and K. Brewster and K. Droegemeier as co-PIs) NSF ATM-0738370. $200K (2/2008 – 1/2010).
“Radar-derived Refractivity and its Impact on Model Analysis and Forecasting using Advanced Data Assimilation Methods”, Co-PI. (with R. Palmer PI and T. Yu, J. Brotzge, S. Torres as other co-PIs). NSF, ATM-0750790. $710K (4/2008 - 3/2011).
"Improving Microphysics Parameterizations and Quantitative Precipitation Forecast through Optimal Use of Video Disdrometer, Profiler and Polarimetric Radar Observations", Co-PI (with Guifu Zhang as PI and others as co-PI), NSF ATM-0608168. $475K (9/2006-8/2009).
"Meteorological Studies with the Phased Array Weather Radar and Data Assimilation using the Ensemble Kalman Filter". Co-PI (with Tianyou Yu as PI and others as co-PI). Office of Naval Research Defense EPSCOR Program. DOD-ONR N00014-06-1-0590. $561K. (7/2006 – 6/2009).
"Contribution to the Weather Research and Forecast (WRF) Model Development."
FAA Aviation Weather Research Program. PI. DOT-FAA NA17RJ1227. $800K (2001 - 2008)
"NSF Engineering Center for Collaborative Adaptive Senseing of the
Atmosphere (CASA)" PI of OU Campus (McLaughlin as PI and Kurose, Droegemeier, Chandrasekar, Cruz-Pol, Sandra as co-PI). NSF EEC-0313747. Awarded amount by FY208: $18 million.
"NSF Large Information Technology (ITR) grant Linked Environment
for Atmospheric Discovery (LEAD)". Co-PI (with Kelvin Droegemeier as PI and others as co-PI). NSF ATM-0331594. (9/2003-8/2008) $11 million.
“MRI: Development of a Multi-Channel Receiver for the Realization of Multi-Mission Capabilities at the National Weather Radar Testbed”. Co-PI (with Mark Yeary as PI and 6 other co-PIs). NSF $699.4K (9/2007-8/2009).
“CAPS-NSSL Collaboration for Spring 2007 Realtime Storm-scale Ensemble Prediction”, PI. from National Severe Storms Lab. $30.2K. (2007)
“An Investigation on the Importance of Environmental Variability to Storm-scale Radar Data Assimilation”. PI (with J. Gao as co-PI). NSSL. $72.5K (2008)
“Technical Support for the WRF Ensemble Reforecast System”. PI (with Kelvin Droegemeier and Fanyou Kong as co-PIs). ATSC, LLC. $86.1K (11/2007-10/2009).
“Theory and Methods for Assimilating Doppler Radar Data for Severe Weather based-on Ensemble Kalman Filter” Major Overseas Collaboration Research. Natural Science Foundation of China. co-PI. Chinese Natural Science Foundation. No.40620120437 ~$120K. (12/2006 – 12/2009)
"On the Optimal Use of WSR-88D Doppler Radar Data for Variational
Storm-Scale Data Assimilation". Co-PI (with Jidong Gao as PI and K. Brewster and K. Droegemeier as other co-PIs). NSF ATM-0331756. $600K. (2003-2007).
"Optimal Utilization and Impact of Water Vapor and
Other High Resolution Observations in Storm-Scale QPF". PI (with A. Shapiro, F. Carr, K. Brewster, J. Gao as co-PI).
NSF ATM-0129892. $830K (12/2001 – 6/2007). Final Report.
“CAPS Support for GOES-R Program”, PI. (with K. Brewster and F. Kong as Co-PI). Atmospheric Environmental Research, $37K (2/2006 – 8/2006).
“Observing System Simulation Experiments for Airborne Weather Sensors”, PI ((with F. Kong as Co-PI). The Boeing Company, $90K (5/2006 – 12/2006).
"Collaborative Weather
Research and Forecasting (WRF) model system development".
PI (with F. Carr as co-PI). NSF ATM-9909007. $431K (1/2000-12/2003).
"The Sensitivity of Numerically-Simulated Deep Convective Storms to Imposed Large-Amplitude Perturbations". PI (with K. Droegemeier as co-PI). Air Force, Department of Defense, $25K (9/2002-9/2003).
"Outstanding Overseas Yang Scientists Collaborative Research Award", PI. Chinese Natural Science Foundation, $50K (1/2001 – 12/2003).
“Observing System Simulation Experiments for Airborne Weather Sensors”. co-PI (with Kelvin Droegemeier as PI)HRL Laboratories, LLC $33K. (2005-2006).
"Assimilation of Doppler radar, surface mesonet and satellite data", Office of Naval Research, Co-PI (with PI Alan Shapiro), $12K, 2003.
"Advanced Weather Analysis and Prediction for Energy". Co-PI (with PI K.K. Droegemeier and other Co-PIs) Williams Companies. $2,871K (2001).
"Assimilation of Doppler radar, surface mesonet and satellite data". Co-PI (with Alan Shapiro as PI and Wei Gu). Office of Naval Research, $583K (3/1998-2/2003).
Presentations
"Recent Progresses in Storm-scale Simulation, NWP and Data Assimilation at CAPS" National Weather Center Seminar, 20 February 2007. Note: The presentation contains html links to movies downloadable from this server - they will be played by your player configured to play Quicktime .mov and Mpeg .mpg files (usually Quicktime Player or Movie Player) after downloading.
Ultra-high-resolution
tornado simulations within a supercell storms
Presentation given at 22nd Several Local Storms Conference, Hyannis,
Ma. October 2004.
Animated Gif movies (due to the size of the movies, it's
best that you download and play them inside Quicktime Player).
Permission should be obtained from Ming Xue (mxue@ou.edu) before using the above movies for any purpose.
Convective Initiation along
a Dryline: A High-Resolution Modeling Study and the Role of Horizontal
Convective Rolls SOM Seminar, October 11, 2005
Prediction
and Data Assimilation at the Convective Scales: Successes and
Challenges (39mb). Presentation given at the 4th
International Conference on Meoscale Convective Systems and Heavy
Rainfall in East Asia (ICMCS-IV), November, 2004.
Ongoing Areas of Research and Representative Publications
Development and Continued
Improvement of ARPS System
ARPS model
documentation and model description papers:
Xue, M., K. K. Droegemeier,
V. Wong, A. Shapiro, and K. Brewster, 1995: ARPS
Version 4.0 User's Guide. Center for Analysis and Prediction
of Storms, [Available from CAPS, Univ. of Oklahoma, 100 E. Boyd
St., Norman OK 73019], 380 pp.
Xue, M., K. K. Droegemeier,
and V. Wong, 2000: The Advanced Regional Prediction System
(ARPS) - A multiscale nonhydrostatic atmospheric simulation
and prediction tool. Part I: Model dynamics and verification. Meteor. Atmos.
Physics. 75, 161-193.
Xue, M., K. K. Droegemeier,
V. Wong, A. Shapiro, K. Brewster, F. Carr, D. Weber, Y. Liu,
and D.-H. Wang, 2001: The Advanced Regional Prediction System
(ARPS) - A multiscale nonhydrostatic atmospheric simulation
and prediction tool. Part II: Model physics and applications. Meteor.
Atmos. Physics. 76, 143-165.
Xue, M.,
D.-H. Wang, J.-D. Gao, K. Brewster, and K. K. Droegemeier,
2001: The Advanced Regional Prediction System (ARPS), storm-scale
numerical weather prediction and data assimilation. Meteor.
Atmos. Physics,
82, 139-170.
Ensemble Kalman Filter
Data Assimilation
Tong, M. and M. Xue ,
2005: Ensemble Kalman filter assimilation of Doppler radar data
with a compressible nonhydrostatic model: OSSE Experiments. Mon.
Wea. Rev., 133, 1789-1807.
Xue, M., M. Tong, and K.
K. Droegemeier, 2005 : An OSSE framework based on the ensemble
square-root Kalman filter for evaluating impact of data from
radar networks on thunderstorm analysis and forecast. J. Atmos.
Ocean Tech., Accepted.
Tong, M. and M. Xue, 2006: Simultaneous estimation of microphysical parameters and atmospheric state with radar data and ensemble square-root Kalman filter. Part I: Sensitivity analysis and parameter identifiability J. Atmos. Sci., Submitted.
Tong, M. and M. Xue, 2006: Simultaneous estimation of microphysical parameters and atmospheric state with radar data and ensemble square-root Kalman filter. Part II: Parameter estimation experiments. J. Atmos. Sci., Submitted.
Ensemble-based Sensitivity
Studies
Martin, W. J. and M. Xue,
2006: Initial condition sensitivity analysis of a mesoscale forecast using very-large ensembles. Mon. Wea. Rev., 134, 192–207.
Ensemble Forecast
Nutter, P., D. Stensrud,
and M. Xue , 2004: Effects of coarsely-resolved and temporally-interpolated
lateral boundary conditions on the dispersion of limitted-area
ensemble forecasts, Mon. Wea. Rev., 132, 2358-2377.
Nutter, P., M. Xue,
and D. Stensrud , 2004: Application of lateral boundary
condition perturbations to help restore dispersion in limited
area ensemble forecasts. Mon. Wea. Rev., 132, 2378-2390.
Data Impact Studies
Souto, M. J., C. F. Balseiro,
V. P¨Śrez-Mu?uzuri, M. Xue, and K. Brewster , 2003: Importance
of cloud analysis and impact for daily forecast in terms of climatology
of Galician region, Spain. J. App. Meteor., 42, 129-140.
Hu, M., M. Xue, and Keith Brewster, 2006: 3DVAR and cloud analysis with WSR-88D Level-II data for the prediction of the Fort Worth tornadic thunderstorms. Part I: Cloud analysis and its impact. Mon. Wea. Rev., 134, 675-698.
Hu, M., M. Xue, J. Gao and K. Brewster, 2006: 3DVAR and cloud analysis with WSR-88D Level-II data for the prediction of the Fort Worth tornadic thunderstorms. Part II: Impact of radial velocity analysis via 3DVAR. Mon. Wea. Rev., 134, 699-721
Dawson, D. T., II and M. Xue, 2006: Numerical forecasts of the 15-16 June 2002 Southern Plains severe MCS: Impact of mesoscale data and cloud analysis. Mon. Wea. Rev., 134, 1607-1629.
Sheng, C., S. Gao, and M. Xue, 2006: Short-term prediction of a heavy precipitation event by assimilating Chinese CINRAD radar reflectivity data using complex cloud analysis. Meteor. Atmos. Phy., In press.
Convective Initiation
along Drylines
Xue, M. and W. Martin, 2006: A high-resolution modeling study of the 24 May 2002 case during IHOP. Part I: Numerical simulation and general evolution of the dryline and convection. Mon. Wea. Rev., 134, 149–171.
Xue, M. and W. Martin, 2006: A high-resolution modeling study of the 24 May 2002 case during IHOP. Part II: Horizontal convective rolls and convective initiation. Mon. Wea. Rev., 134, 172–191.
Varitonal Analysis
of GSP Slant-path Water Vapor Data
Liu, H. and M. Xue, 2006: Retrieval of moisture from slant-path water vapor observations of a hypothetical GPS network using a three-dimensional variational scheme with anisotropic background error. Mon. Wea. Rev., 134, 933-949.
Liu, H., M. Xue, R. J. Purser, and D. F. Parrish, 2006: Retrieval of moisture from GPS slant-path water vapor observations using 3DVAR with isotropic and anisotropic recursive filters. Mon. Wea. Rev., Accepted.
Retrieval of Soil
Model State Variables using 4DVAR Method
Ren, D. and M. Xue, 2005: 4DVAR assimilation of ground surface
temperature for the estimation of state variables of a land surface
model. J. Appl. Meteor., To be submitted.
Xue, M. and D. Ren, 2005: Estimation of soil model state through
4DVAR assimilation of near surface atmospheric measurements. J.
Appl. Meteor., To be submitted.
Land Surface Model
Improvement
Ren, D. and M. Xue ,
2004: An improved force-restore model for land-surface modeling,
J. App. Meteor., 43, 1768-1782.
Ren, D., M. Xue, and A. Henderson-Sellers ,
2004: The effects of hydraulic lift in simulating superficial soil
moisture for vegetated surfaces under dry conditions. J. Hydrometero.,
5, 1181-1191.
Turbulence and Boundary
Layer Modeling
Chow, F. K., R. L. Street,
M. Xue, and J. H. Ferziger , 2005: Explicit filtering and reconstruction
turbulence modeling for large-eddy simulation of neutral boundary
layer flow. J. Atmos. Sci., 62, 2058-2077.
Chow, F. K., A. P. Weigel, R.
L. Street, M. W. Rotach, and M. Xue, 2005: High-resolution
large-eddy simulations of flow in a steep Alpine valley. Part
I: Methodology, verification and sensitivity experiments. J.
Appl. Meteor., Accepted.
Weigel, A. P., F. K. Chow,
M. W. Rotach, R. L. Street, and M. Xue , 2005: High-resolution
large-eddy simulations of flow in a steep Alpine valley. Part
II: Flow structure and heat budgets. J. Appl. Meteor., Accepted.
Density current dynamics
and simulations
Xu,
Q., M. Xue, and K.K. Droegemeier,
1996: Numerical simulations of density currents in sheared environments
within a vertically confined channel. J. Atmos. Sci. 53,
770-786.
Xue, M., Q. Xu, and K.K. Droegemeier,
1997: A Theoretical and numerical study of density currents in
non-constant shear flows. J. Atmos. Sci., 54, 1998-2019.
Xue,
M., 2000: Density currents
in two-layer shear flows. Quart. J. Roy. Met. Soc., 126,
1301-1320.
Xue,
M., 2002: Density currents
in shear flows: Effects of rigid lid and cold-pool internal circulation,
and application to squall line dynamics. Quart. J. Roy.
Met. Soc.,
128 , 47-74.
Lists
to density current animations etc.
Dynamics of Long-lived Squall lines
Mesoscale and Convective Scale Simulation and Prediction Stuides
Varitional Retrieval
and Analysis of Doppler Radar Data
Gao,
J., M. Xue, A. Shapiro, K.K. Droegemeier, 1999: A Variational
Method for the Retrieval of Three-Dimensional Wind Fields
from Dual-Doppler Radars. Mon.
Wea. Rev., 127, 2128-2142.
Gao,
J., M. Xue, A. Shapiro, Q. Xu, and K. K. Droegemeier,
2001: Three-dimensional simple adjoint velocity retrievals
from single Doppler radar, J. Atm. Ocean Tech., 18,
26-38.
Gao, J.-D., M. Xue, K.
Brewster, and K. K. Droegemeier , 2004: A three-dimensional
variational data analysis method with recursive filter for Doppler
radars. J. Atmos. Ocean. Tech., 21, 457-469.
Gao, J., K. Brewster, and M. Xue, 2006: A comparison of the radar ray path equations and approximations for use in radar data assimilation. Adv. Atmos. Sci., 32, 190-198.
Gao, J., M. Xue, S. Y. Lee, K. K. Droegemeier, and A. Shapiro, 2006: A three-dimensionl variational method for velocity retrievals from single-Doppler radar observations on supercell storms. Meteo. Atmos. Phys., In press.
Computational Fluid
Dynamics and Numerical Techniques
Xue, M., 2000: High-order
monotonic numerical diffusion and smoothing, Mon. Wea. Rev. 2853-2864.
Xue, M. and S.-J. Lin, 2000: Numerical
equivalence of advection in flux and advective forms and quadratically
conservative high-order advection schemes. Mon. Wea. Rev.,
129, 561-565.
And a complete
list of publications.
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